Every day, the stock market seems to continue its precipitous drop towards worthlessness, crushing hopes, dreams, and investors in a flurry of dizzying price movements. Yet there is an answer; a light in the darkness, used by the masters of investment to generate excess returns even " no, scratch that, - especially in falling markets like this one.
Masters of short term stock speculation have long known about an ill-understood trading technique shunned by the masses. This technique makes money as stock prices fall, rather then profiting as they rise. This technique is known as shorting stock. Unlike purchasing a stock, where you buy it, and then hope that it goes up in value, or that you can collect the dividends from the stock far into the future, shorting a stock is a simple technique the masters use when they believe the stock will go DOWN. A risky play under normal conditions, but in a market like this, where most everything is dropping like a rock, its much safer then buying stocks.
While counter-intuitive, shorting stock is less complicated then you might think. The goal when shorting stock is the same as when buying; your trying to buy low, and sell high. The only difference is that you do it in the other order. You sell stock today, and you buy it tomorrow (or some other time in the future), hopefully for less. By doing so, you make a profit equal to the difference between your buying and selling prices.
An example... In late August 2008, Ford was trading for around 4.50. If you decided to short 100 shares of ford at that point, then you would borrow 100 shares of Ford from your broker and sell them for a total of $450. In late October 2008, Ford was down to the 2.25 range. At that point, you could buy back the 100 shares you sold for $225, return the 100 shares to your broker, and all in all, you made $225. In essence, you sold high, then bought low. Its just like buying low, and selling high " it just operates in reverse. This would be a good time to re-read this paragraph, its that important.
A more abstract, but ultimately easier way to think of shorting is a way of owning a negative number of shares. If when you own 10 shares, and a stock goes down by $100 , you lose $1000. If you own negative 10 shares, and a stock goes down by $100, you gain $1000. Simple as that. Naturally, an increase in price works the same way " a price increase means owning a negative number of shares leads to a loss, but in a bear market, thats a rare thing.
Of course, when playing the markets, there is always potential for losses. When shorting during a bear market, you should keep an eye on recent developments. A bailout such as the one received by financial stocks could easily send some once floundering stocks into a new uptrend, and when such things occur, you must be quick to cut your losses. Perhaps the biggest risk to a short play is the end of the bear market. The end of bear markets are typically highlighted by a powerful upwards move, regardless of the bad news going on at the time. When in doubt, get out.
When deciding how to manage risk, a good tool to use is the 5% rule. This rule states that you should use stop losses to never lose more then 5% of your overall investment portfolio on any individual trade. So if you have a $50000 portfolio, then you should risk no more then 5% of that " $2500 " on each trade. This doesnt mean you shouldnt invest more then $2500 in any one idea. It just means you shouldnt lose more then that if things go wrong. Heres an example. If you buy a stock for $30 per share, and you set a stop loss at $25, you can lose up to $5 per share on that stock. This means you can buy up to 500 shares without violating the 5% rule. However, if your stop loss was at $20, you could only buy up to 250 shares without violating the 5% rule. 5% is also a bit high for most traders. Unless you have a very long timespan, most of your trades should be closer to the 2-4% range, with 5% being the highest risk trades.
In a bear market, there is just one, singularly important, yet amazingly simple truth that must always be kept in mind. Everythings going down. Throw 3 random letters together, and pull up a stock chart, and every time, youll see declining prices throughout a bear market. With this in mind, shorting is the only thing that makes sense. Masters of this technique have been pulling millions in from the market since the dawn of the last century. As far back as the 1929 crash, Jesse Livermore made $100 MILLION using this technique. In a strong bear market, shorting etfs and stocks can be a brutally efficient cash machine. - 16463
Masters of short term stock speculation have long known about an ill-understood trading technique shunned by the masses. This technique makes money as stock prices fall, rather then profiting as they rise. This technique is known as shorting stock. Unlike purchasing a stock, where you buy it, and then hope that it goes up in value, or that you can collect the dividends from the stock far into the future, shorting a stock is a simple technique the masters use when they believe the stock will go DOWN. A risky play under normal conditions, but in a market like this, where most everything is dropping like a rock, its much safer then buying stocks.
While counter-intuitive, shorting stock is less complicated then you might think. The goal when shorting stock is the same as when buying; your trying to buy low, and sell high. The only difference is that you do it in the other order. You sell stock today, and you buy it tomorrow (or some other time in the future), hopefully for less. By doing so, you make a profit equal to the difference between your buying and selling prices.
An example... In late August 2008, Ford was trading for around 4.50. If you decided to short 100 shares of ford at that point, then you would borrow 100 shares of Ford from your broker and sell them for a total of $450. In late October 2008, Ford was down to the 2.25 range. At that point, you could buy back the 100 shares you sold for $225, return the 100 shares to your broker, and all in all, you made $225. In essence, you sold high, then bought low. Its just like buying low, and selling high " it just operates in reverse. This would be a good time to re-read this paragraph, its that important.
A more abstract, but ultimately easier way to think of shorting is a way of owning a negative number of shares. If when you own 10 shares, and a stock goes down by $100 , you lose $1000. If you own negative 10 shares, and a stock goes down by $100, you gain $1000. Simple as that. Naturally, an increase in price works the same way " a price increase means owning a negative number of shares leads to a loss, but in a bear market, thats a rare thing.
Of course, when playing the markets, there is always potential for losses. When shorting during a bear market, you should keep an eye on recent developments. A bailout such as the one received by financial stocks could easily send some once floundering stocks into a new uptrend, and when such things occur, you must be quick to cut your losses. Perhaps the biggest risk to a short play is the end of the bear market. The end of bear markets are typically highlighted by a powerful upwards move, regardless of the bad news going on at the time. When in doubt, get out.
When deciding how to manage risk, a good tool to use is the 5% rule. This rule states that you should use stop losses to never lose more then 5% of your overall investment portfolio on any individual trade. So if you have a $50000 portfolio, then you should risk no more then 5% of that " $2500 " on each trade. This doesnt mean you shouldnt invest more then $2500 in any one idea. It just means you shouldnt lose more then that if things go wrong. Heres an example. If you buy a stock for $30 per share, and you set a stop loss at $25, you can lose up to $5 per share on that stock. This means you can buy up to 500 shares without violating the 5% rule. However, if your stop loss was at $20, you could only buy up to 250 shares without violating the 5% rule. 5% is also a bit high for most traders. Unless you have a very long timespan, most of your trades should be closer to the 2-4% range, with 5% being the highest risk trades.
In a bear market, there is just one, singularly important, yet amazingly simple truth that must always be kept in mind. Everythings going down. Throw 3 random letters together, and pull up a stock chart, and every time, youll see declining prices throughout a bear market. With this in mind, shorting is the only thing that makes sense. Masters of this technique have been pulling millions in from the market since the dawn of the last century. As far back as the 1929 crash, Jesse Livermore made $100 MILLION using this technique. In a strong bear market, shorting etfs and stocks can be a brutally efficient cash machine. - 16463
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